I LOVE the NFL Draft. Waking up the morning of the NFL Draft is kind of like the adult version of waking up on Christmas morning: the air is thick with anticipation, and you can't wait to unveil the new presents that have been so perfectly wrapped for you. It's a time for new beginnings and renewed hope.
I've convinced myself to feel this way year after year, despite the Rams ruining every draft day with their comical blunders of talent evaluation. It's hard to draft as poorly as the Rams have in recent years. The 2006 draft may be the best (or worst, depending on how you look at it) example of the Rams ineptness. In 2006, the Rams were able to accumulate five picks in the first three rounds. With those picks, they selected (in order) Tye Hill, Joe Klopfenstein, Claude Wroten, Jon Alston and Dominique Byrd. This draft was five years ago. These players should be in their prime and the core of the Rams future. Not one of these players is on the Rams roster. Even better, not one of these five players are even in the NFL. Pretty amazing. I imagine any of us could pick five names out of a hat and had better success.
The Rams now have a new regime in place (again). This one does come with a bit more experience and cache than its predecessors. No one is saying that Jeff Fisher is Vince Lombardi, but he certainly isn't Steven Spagnuolo or Scott Linehan either. Fisher has already put some strong coordinators in place, and the Rams are in the midst of finding their next general manager. The general manager will (obviously) be a huge piece to the organization and after that hire is in place, we'll begin to get some insight on the new staff's draft strategy. As Anthony stated in his first Mock "there several events between now and the draft (playoff results, Senior Bowl, free-agency, and the combine) that can shift draft boards, but it’s never too soon to start speculating.” With that repeated, here's a quick look at my predictions for the Top 10:
#1: Colts - Andrew Luck, QB, Stanford - My take: Stating the obvious here. Let's move on.


#5: Buccaneers - Morris Claiborne, CB, LSU - My take: Claiborne is a complete CB, with the size and speed to excel early in his career. Doesn't have the return skills of last year's #5 pick from LSU, Patrick Peterson, but could have a similar impact for the Bucs.
#6: Redskins - Robert Griffin III, QB, Baylor - My take: I have doubts about
#7: Jaguars - Michael Floyd, WR, Notre Dame - My take: Floyd had some off-field issues at Notre Dame, but has the prototype size (6-3 / 224) for an NFL WR. The Jags are about as desperate for a playmaker as the Rams, and there is always a team that reaches for a WR in the 1st Round. The Jags are that team this year.
#8: Panthers -
#9: Dolphins - Riley Reiff, OT,
#10: Bills - Dre Kirkpatrick, CB,
Anthony posted his Early 1st Round Mock Draft last week: http://ramsaddiction.blogspot.com/2012/01/early-mock-round-1.html
Feel free to disagree with both of us in the comments.
You may be right on Richardson at 4, but at some point GMs will stop drafting high 1st round RBs:
ReplyDelete2011 - Ingram 28th
2010 - Spiller 10th, Matthews 12th, Best 30th
2009 - Moreno 12th, Donald Brown 27th
2011 leading rushers: Foster (undrafted), Ahmad Bradshaw (Round 7), Frank Gore (round 3), McGahee (1st round), Brandon Jacobs (Round 4), Ray Rice (2nd round), Isaac Redman (undrafted)
That is a terrible ROI in my opinion...
Anonymous,
ReplyDeleteThe guys you mentioned that were picked in the 1st round were not high first round picks. Here are the RBs picked in the top 7 since 2005:
McFadden (4th)
Peterson (7th)
Bush (2nd)
Ronnie Brown (2nd)
Cadillac Williams (5th)
A couple of these guys are elite, but at least all of them are, or were, #1 RBs.
I understand your point and agree that you can get better value for that position later in the draft. My point is simply that there are some exceptional RBs that can come out of the top of the 1st round.
Michael,
ReplyDeleteI'm surprised you think the Rams should keep the #2 pick. He is not a top-notch, elite receiver. To use a #2 pick on a WR, he should be damn good, like Megatron or A.J. Green. In other words, it should be a game-changer. Blackmon, although probably very good, is not a game-changer. He is not as tall as those guys. He is not as fast as those guys. Those are attributes that made those two guys top 4 picks.
I agree we need a WR-bad, real bad-, but not Blackmon at #2. The Rams have a lot of holes. Thus, they would be better suited by trading that pick and adding draft picks. Because the draft is thick with talent, they could still get a top talent player at a position they need by trading down in the first round (e.g., LT, CB, or even WR). Then, they would have additional picks to fill the other holes. Additionally, even if they trade down, not only would they add more picks, but also, they might still get Blackmon.